DES MOINES – In his race for reelection, Iowa’s long-time governor, Terry Branstad, has a 55 – 37 percent likely voter lead over State Sen. Jack Hatch, the Democratic challenger.
This compares to a 54 – 39 percent likely voter lead for Gov. Branstad in an October 15 Quinnipiac University poll.
Hatch does not get the usual Democratic advantage among women, who back the governor 49 – 43 percent. The incumbent has a 61 – 32 percent lead among men. He leads 94 – 5 percent among Republicans and 61 – 25 percent among independent voters. Democrats go to Hatch 87 – 11 percent.
Hatch is ahead 54 – 38 percent among those who already have voted.
With 12 days until the election, 91 percent of voters who name a candidate say their mind is made up, while 9 percent say they might change their mind.
Branstad gets a 56 – 35 percent favorability rating, compared to Hatch’s split 31 – 31 percent score, with 35 percent who don’t know enough about him to form an opinion.
“Absent an unprecedented turnaround, Gov. Terry Branstad is going to coast to reelection,” Brown said. “If he serves out his next term, he becomes the longest-serving governor in American history.”
From October 15 – 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 964 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.