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Obama says new bargaining with Iranians could quickly indicate if military action is needed

By Paul Richter and Henry Chu, Tribune Washington Bureau –

WASHINGTON — Saying new negotiations with Iran will provide “a pretty good sense fairly quickly” if a diplomatic solution can prevent war, President Barack Obama challenged Iran to end the mounting crisis with the West over its disputed nuclear program.

(PHOTO: U.S. President Barack Obama speaks during a news conference in the Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House on March 6, 2012 in Washington, DC.)

Obama spoke shortly after the United States, China, Russia and key European allies said they were prepared to accept an offer in a letter from a senior Iranian official expressing Iran’s readiness to reopen negotiations that broke down in January 2011.

Obama on Tuesday also sharply chastised his Republican rivals and others who he said are “popping off” with “a lot of bluster and a lot of big talk” about launching a military attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities.

“Those who are suggesting or proposing or beating the drums of war should explain clearly to the American people what they think the costs and benefits would be,” Obama said at his first news conference since launching his re-election campaign last fall. “I am not one of those people.”

The resumption of talks, which were announced in London, gives Iran an opportunity to emerge from deepening isolation and economic upheaval, and will serve as a test of Obama’s contention that a strategy of ever-tightening economic sanctions and diplomatic overtures can produce a peaceful solution.

The European Union’s foreign minister, Catherine Ashton, wrote in a letter to Saeed Jalili, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, that a date and venue for the talks should be decided “as soon as possible.” Iran on Tuesday said it would grant inspectors from the U.N.’s International Atomic Energy Agency long-sought permission to visit its Parchin compound, which it has described as a military base, not a nuclear facility.

Iran insists it wants to produce nuclear energy only for civilian purposes, but Western governments worry that the Islamic Republic is enriching uranium to develop nuclear weapons. The U.S. and European Union have imposed crippling sanctions on Iran’s oil exports, banking sector and other parts of its economy, and more punishments will take effect in coming months.

Obama spoke to reporters a day after he pressed Israel’s visiting prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, to delay any military strikes on Iran at least long enough to see if diplomacy and sanctions can work. Israel officials, concerned that Iran would attack if it develops a nuclear weapon, believe a pre-emptive raid is justified if Iran approaches the capability of building bombs or moves enough of its uranium enrichment underground to make it less vulnerable to an attack.

In his news conference, Obama acknowledged that Iranian officials engaged in “hemming and hawing and stalling and avoiding the issues” in talks over the last nine years. But he said the latest sanctions have staggered Iran’s economy, and as a result, Iran’s leaders “understand that the world community means business.”

Obama said Iranian officials must “discuss in a clear and forthright way” how to prove that they are abiding by the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and are not secretly pursuing a nuclear weapon. “They know how to do that. This is not a mystery.”

Obama said he does not expect a sudden breakthrough, but he indicated a possible time frame for determining if other options, including a military attack, may be necessary. “This notion that somehow we have a choice to make in the next week or two weeks or month or two months is not borne out by the facts,” he said.

European officials said they will begin preliminary discussions in the next two weeks to try to arrange talks that may begin in early April, in a yet to be determined “neutral” city.

Western leaders fear Iran might try to use the talks to buy time, and they will seek to determine as soon as possible if Iran is serious about negotiations. One European diplomat said the threat of an Israeli military action is building pressure in the West for quick progress.

Ray Takeyh, a former Obama administration adviser on Iran, said the West has been eager to restart the talks, although the six nations involved spent several weeks in discussions before accepting the Iranian offer.

He said that while Iran is clearly “more isolated, more pressured, more economically distressed” than before any previous round of talks, it remains difficult to predict what course its leaders will take.

At his news conference Tuesday, Obama, speaking of certain Republican foes, derided “the casualness with which some of these folks” talk about starting another war. “This is not a game and there’s nothing casual about it,” he said.

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